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I wasn't a big Travis Etienne fan to start 2025, but he's completely owned most of the touches in the Jacksonville backfield this season. In the last two games he's carried 19 times for 73 yards and 15 times for 86 yards, and overall he's 8-3 on the season against his rushing prop. He's facing TEN, who has given up this rushing total to an RB in 9 of 11 games this year, so we like Etienne's chances to top this total.
Jonathan Taylor has never been a prolific receiving back, but he's quietly improved his catch numbers this year with Daniel Jones at QB. Taylor is 8-3 on the year for his receiving prop totals, and has topped this number in 7 of 11 games. The fierce HOU pass rush increases the likelihood that Daniel Jones will have to use his checkdowns in this week's game - and that should include several outlet passes to Taylor.
Kyle Pitts HAS to step up with Drake London injured, right? Well it didn't happen either of the last two weeks with Kirk Cousins leading the Falcons - and we have our doubts this week as well. Over the last two weeks combined Pitts has managed just 4 catches for 39 yards. Oh but it's the weak-D Jets you say? Well check this out - the Green Men have NOT allowed a TE to top 49 yards this entire season! We feel good about the Under.
The Rams are rolling lately! QB Matthew Stafford has been getting a lot of the media buzz, but RB Kyren Williams is also a major part of their offense in 2025. This week he faces a weak-again CAR run defense, which has given up at least 83 yards to an RB in its last five straight games. With the Panthers' inconsistent offense facing the Rams' tough front we see lots of carries in store for LA's lead back this week.
The Steelers have recently settled into a solid pattern of having Jaylen Warren run the ball and Kenneth Gainwell do all of the receiving work. Gainwell is coming off of two very busy receiving weeks: 6 catches for 30 yards after a 7 for 81 yard perfomance. He's topped 21 yards receiving in three of the last four weeks. We think that this prop number is reachable regardless of a positive or negative gameflow versus the Bills.
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