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This week's Free NFL Props

NFL Week 17 Props: We're 17-8 over our last 5 weeks!

NFL Props Week 17: two repeat picks from last week's 4-1

Chris Olave OVER 67.5 rec yds vs TEN (-113 DK)

Justin Herbert UNDER 212.5 pass yds vs HOU (-115 TheScore)

Justin Herbert UNDER 212.5 pass yds vs HOU (-115 TheScore)

The first of our repeat picks features the Saints' red-hot Chris Olave.  Last week without injured #2 WR DeVaughn Vele, Olave saw a ridiculous 16 targets on the way to a 10 catch for 148 yard day.  This week's opponent is the Titans' defense, who has been scorched numerous times in 2025 by an opponent's top WR .  There's no reason to go find another WR over prop to play when the linemakers are only moving Olave up 6 yards after his monster week.  The Saints can't run the ball at all, meaning it'll be more of Shough to Olave in Nashville this week. OVER.

Justin Herbert UNDER 212.5 pass yds vs HOU (-115 TheScore)

Justin Herbert UNDER 212.5 pass yds vs HOU (-115 TheScore)

Justin Herbert UNDER 212.5 pass yds vs HOU (-115 TheScore)

Three weeks ago the Chargers took the field with a battered offensive line against a formidable pass rush defense (Eagles) and struggled mightily in the passing game but still managed an OT win.  Here in Week 17, we can't believe the similarities between this HOU game setup and that Week 14 defense-dominated grind. Herbert threw for all of 132 yards in that one, and the Eagles matched the offensive ineptness on their side. With a Texans offense not built for long drives to the end zone, this one looks like a lot of carries and a Dicker-Fairbairn kick contest decided by a FG.  UNDER.

Tyrone Tracy OVER 58.5 rush yds at LV (-112 DK)

Justin Herbert UNDER 212.5 pass yds vs HOU (-115 TheScore)

Tyrone Tracy OVER 58.5 rush yds at LV (-112 DK)

We're also repeating last week's winning pick of Tyrone Tracy in this exact page location -- we barely even have to update our analysis!  This week Tracy enters having tallied 62+ yards in five of his last six games, including 71 last week.  The Giants won't risk franchise QB Jaxson Dart to a season-ending injury here, so we expect run run run in a low scoring game with LV. With Tracy running the ball at 4.1 yards per carry over the last 5 games, a total of 15 carries should be sufficient for Tracy  (who has topped this carry number in 4 of the last 5) to clinch this OVER. 

Chig Okonkwo OVER 25.5 rec yds vs NO (-114 DK)

Bonus Bucket of Props: a group of second tier picks we like a bit less

Tyrone Tracy OVER 58.5 rush yds at LV (-112 DK)

The Titans' offense has struggled to find consistent pass catchers all season long for rookie QB Cam Ward - but TE Chig Okonkwo has been very reliable on a week to week basis.  He's topped this yardage level in 5 of his last 6 games as the TEN offense has improved from miserable to 'passable' over the last few weeks.  Over the last 2 outings, Okonkwo has seen 14 targets - so any usage in that range should be sufficient to top this seemingly too low prop number.  OVER.


Chase Brown OVER 20.5 rec yds vs AZ (-114 FD)

Bonus Bucket of Props: a group of second tier picks we like a bit less

Bonus Bucket of Props: a group of second tier picks we like a bit less

Since Joe Burrow came back to the Bengals lineup Chase Brown has re-emerged both as a runner and receiver after an invisible start to 2025.  He's topped this receiving yards level in 5 of his last 6 games and now finds himself facing a Cardinals team who just gave up a 7 catch for 92 yards day to RB Bijan Robinson.  Maybe the biggest threat to this wager is that an uninterested AZ team packs it in early and CIN RB Samaje Perine gets more touches - but we like the trends here to enable us to cash the OVER again on Brown.

Bonus Bucket of Props: a group of second tier picks we like a bit less

Bonus Bucket of Props: a group of second tier picks we like a bit less

Bonus Bucket of Props: a group of second tier picks we like a bit less

- Omarion Hampton OVER 63.5 rush yds vs HOU 


- Tre Tucker OVER 45.5 rec yds vs NYG


- De'Von Achane OVER 73.5 rush yds vs TB


- JaMarr Chase OVER 85.5 rec yds vs AZ


- Kenneth Walker UNDER 53.5 rush yds vs CAR


- Trey McBride OVER 74.5 rec yds at CIN

We'll be back next week to share our W-L record and analyze these picks.

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